Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Volume$2.3K
Yisrael Beiteinu
$43.1 24h volume
55%
Yashar
$35.1 24h volume
54%
The Democrats
$242.1 24h volume
51%
United Torah Judaism
$357.6 24h volume
45%
New Economic Party / The Reservists
$4.3 24h volume
42%
RZP-Zehut
$60 24h volume
40%
Otzma Yehudit
$768 24h volume
39%
Shas
$7.8 24h volume
36%
Together
$8.9 24h volume
36%
Likud
$1.6K 24h volume
30%
Amcha Yisrael
$962.6 24h volume
28%
Ra'am
$993.1 24h volume
21%
Blue and White
$1 24h volume
6%
Joint List
$17.2 24h volume
4%
Noam
$66.6 24h volume
2%

Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.

Found an error or inaccuracy?
Help make the event more accurate — suggest a correction, appeal the decision, or report a problem.