Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Volume$60.4K
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$795.6 24h volume
62%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$16.3K 24h volume
32%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$21.3K 24h volume
4%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$20K 24h volume
3%
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