Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Volume$227.5K
Marine Le Pen
$954.7 24h volume
90%
Édouard Philippe
$464 24h volume
50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$1.3K 24h volume
35%
Other
$20 24h volume
33%
David Lisnard
$5.3K 24h volume
15%
Bruno Retailleau
$355.5 24h volume
7%
François Ruffin
$121.6 24h volume
6%
François Hollande
$505.1 24h volume
6%
Gabriel Attal
$82 24h volume
6%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$903.2 24h volume
6%
Jordan Bardella
$346.3 24h volume
6%
Dominique de Villepin
$627.3 24h volume
6%
Marine Tondelier
$133.5 24h volume
5%
Manuel Bompard
$618.9 24h volume
5%
Gérald Darmanin
$1.1 24h volume
5%
Clémentine Autain
$30 24h volume
5%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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